India’s Monsoon 2026 Forecast Drops to 90% of Normal — El Niño Threatens Agriculture and Economy as IMD Issues Below-Normal Warning
IMD forecasts India’s 2026 southwest monsoon at 92% of LPA — the first below-normal season since 2023. A developing super El Niño threatens kharif crops and could fuel food inflation. The probability of a deficient monsoon stands at 35%, more than double the historical average.
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